Goto

Collaborating Authors

 granger causality


3d36c07721a0a5a96436d6c536a132ec-Supplemental.pdf

Neural Information Processing Systems

Figure S1: Estimated Networks 1 & 3 from linear factor models of DS (Top) and Granger causality (Bottom) for simulated data experiment. Each panel shows a grid of DS or Granger causality (GC) features associated with the indicated network estimate. Within each grid, a plot corresponds to signal that is being transmitted from the channel listed on the left to the channel listed at the top. See Figure 1 for a description of the true networks. Each subplot represents the DS from the region listed on the left to the region listed on top. Power spectra are reasonable to model using a linear factor model because they satisfy Definition 1 under reasonable assumptions. We will use Scc(ω) to refer to the spectral power of the signal vc(t) at frequency ω, and vc(ω) to refer to the frequency domain representation of vc(t) at ω.



Causality Preserving Chaotic Transformation and Classification using Neurochaos Learning

Neural Information Processing Systems

Discovering cause and effect variables from observational data is an important but challenging problem in science and engineering. In this work, a recently proposed brain inspired learning algorithm namely-Neurochaos Learning (NL) is used for the classification of cause and effect time series generated using coupled autoregressive processes, coupled 1D chaotic skew tent maps, coupled 1D chaotic logistic maps and a real-world prey-predator system. In the case of coupled skew tent maps, the proposed method consistently outperforms a five layer Deep Neural Network (DNN) and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) architecture for unidirectional coupling coefficient values ranging from 0.1 to 0.7. Further, we investigate the preservation of causality in the feature extracted space of NL using Granger Causality for coupled autoregressive processes and Compression-Complexity Causality for coupled chaotic systems and real-world prey-predator dataset. Unlike DNN, LSTM and 1DConvolutional Neural Network, it is found that NL preserves the inherent causal structures present in the input timeseries data. These findings are promising for the theory and applications of causal machine learning and open up the possibility to explore the potential of NL for more sophisticated causal learning tasks.


Causal Reconstruction of Sentiment Signals from Sparse News Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Sentiment signals derived from sparse news are commonly used in financial analysis and technology monitoring, yet transforming raw article-level observations into reliable temporal series remains a largely unsolved engineering problem. Rather than treating this as a classification challenge, we propose to frame it as a causal signal reconstruction problem: given probabilistic sentiment outputs from a fixed classifier, recover a stable latent sentiment series that is robust to the structural pathologies of news data such as sparsity, redundancy, and classifier uncertainty. We present a modular three-stage pipeline that (i) aggregates article-level scores onto a regular temporal grid with uncertainty-aware and redundancy-aware weights, (ii) fills coverage gaps through strictly causal projection rules, and (iii) applies causal smoothing to reduce residual noise. Because ground-truth longitudinal sentiment labels are typically unavailable, we introduce a label-free evaluation framework based on signal stability diagnostics, information preservation lag proxies, and counterfactual tests for causality compliance and redundancy robustness. As a secondary external check, we evaluate the consistency of reconstructed signals against stock-price data for a multi-firm dataset of AI-related news titles (November 2024 to February 2026). The key empirical finding is a three-week lead lag pattern between reconstructed sentiment and price that persists across all tested pipeline configurations and aggregation regimes, a structural regularity more informative than any single correlation coefficient. Overall, the results support the view that stable, deployable sentiment indicators require careful reconstruction, not only better classifiers.


Granger Components Analysis: Unsupervised learning of latent temporal dependencies

Neural Information Processing Systems

Here the concept of Granger causality is employed to propose a new criterion for unsupervised learning that is appropriate in the case of temporally-dependent source signals. The basic idea is to identify two projections of a multivariate time series such that the Granger causality among the resulting pair of components is maximized.


A Simple yet Scalable Granger Causal Structural Learning Approach for Topological Event Sequences

Neural Information Processing Systems

Such causal graphs delineate the relations among alarms and can significantly aid engineers in identifying and rectifying faults. However, existing methods either ignore the topological relationships among devices or suffer from relatively low scalability and efficiency, failing to deliver high-quality responses in a timely manner.




DirectedSpectrumMeasuresImproveLatent NetworkModelsOfNeuralPopulations

Neural Information Processing Systems

While some biological neural networks are well known, we expect that the vast majority remain undiscovered due to the enormous variety of tasks the brain performs. Many methods have been developed to help discover latent networks of neural populations (i.e.